Year 2018, Volume 22, Issue 5, Pages 1288 - 1297 2018-10-01

Seasonality of Precipitation in TURKEY: Present and Future Assessments

Yasemin Ezber [1]

151 410


In this study, the non-parametric circular statistical method is used to analyze seasonality of precipitation over Turkey for past (1956-1975) and present (1986-2005) periods using both station data and gridded observation data (CRU-3.24). This method is also applied to the CORDEX Europe domain for three different periods which cover early century (2016-2035), mid-century (2046-2065) and end-century (2081-2099) to investigate the potential future changes in the seasonality under a pessimistic climate scenario, CMIP5-RCP 8.5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5-Representative Concentration Pathways 8.5).


Seasonality Index (SI) over Turkey decreases from south (~0.6) to north (~0.1) for past and present periods. For the future periods, SI tends to increase in the south, especially in the south-eastern Anatolian region, while it tends to decrease over the Black Sea and central Anatolian regions. Beside SI, another outcome from the circular statistics is the average occurrence time of precipitation during a year. Winter months (December-January-February) are common occurrence time of precipitation in general for past and present periods. Precipitation occurrence time for the future periods does not change much in the future periods for most of the regions except for the central Black Sea and southeastern Anatolia where it shifts to October and November, respectively.    


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Primary Language en
Subjects Basic Sciences
Published Date October 2018
Journal Section Research Articles
Authors

Author: Yasemin Ezber
Institution: İSTANBUL TEKNİK ÜNİVERSİTESİ, AVRASYA YER BİLİMLERİ ENSTİTÜSÜ
Country: Turkey


Dates

Publication Date: October 1, 2018

Bibtex @research article { saufenbilder313172, journal = {Sakarya University Journal of Science}, issn = {1301-4048}, eissn = {2147-835X}, address = {Sakarya University}, year = {2018}, volume = {22}, pages = {1288 - 1297}, doi = {10.16984/saufenbilder.313172}, title = {Seasonality of Precipitation in TURKEY: Present and Future Assessments}, key = {cite}, author = {Ezber, Yasemin} }
APA Ezber, Y . (2018). Seasonality of Precipitation in TURKEY: Present and Future Assessments. Sakarya University Journal of Science, 22 (5), 1288-1297. DOI: 10.16984/saufenbilder.313172
MLA Ezber, Y . "Seasonality of Precipitation in TURKEY: Present and Future Assessments". Sakarya University Journal of Science 22 (2018): 1288-1297 <http://www.saujs.sakarya.edu.tr/issue/31265/313172>
Chicago Ezber, Y . "Seasonality of Precipitation in TURKEY: Present and Future Assessments". Sakarya University Journal of Science 22 (2018): 1288-1297
RIS TY - JOUR T1 - Seasonality of Precipitation in TURKEY: Present and Future Assessments AU - Yasemin Ezber Y1 - 2018 PY - 2018 N1 - doi: 10.16984/saufenbilder.313172 DO - 10.16984/saufenbilder.313172 T2 - Sakarya University Journal of Science JF - Journal JO - JOR SP - 1288 EP - 1297 VL - 22 IS - 5 SN - 1301-4048-2147-835X M3 - doi: 10.16984/saufenbilder.313172 UR - https://doi.org/10.16984/saufenbilder.313172 Y2 - 2018 ER -
EndNote %0 Sakarya University Journal of Science Seasonality of Precipitation in TURKEY: Present and Future Assessments %A Yasemin Ezber %T Seasonality of Precipitation in TURKEY: Present and Future Assessments %D 2018 %J Sakarya University Journal of Science %P 1301-4048-2147-835X %V 22 %N 5 %R doi: 10.16984/saufenbilder.313172 %U 10.16984/saufenbilder.313172
ISNAD Ezber, Yasemin . "Seasonality of Precipitation in TURKEY: Present and Future Assessments". Sakarya University Journal of Science 22 / 5 (October 2018): 1288-1297. https://doi.org/10.16984/saufenbilder.313172
AMA Ezber Y . Seasonality of Precipitation in TURKEY: Present and Future Assessments. SAUJS. 2018; 22(5): 1288-1297.
Vancouver Ezber Y . Seasonality of Precipitation in TURKEY: Present and Future Assessments. Sakarya University Journal of Science. 2018; 22(5): 1297-1288.